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All Scientists are Sceptics ~Professor Bob Carter

Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Dr David Deming

Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the science of climate change is the lack of any real substance in attempts to justify the hypothesis ~Professor Stewart Franks

A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf
A lie told often enough becomes the truth.
-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin - See more at: http://thepeoplescube.com/lenin/lenin-s-own-20-monster-quotes-t185.html#sthash.aTrSI3tG.dpuf

Sunday, May 3, 2015

Earth Day Predictions

You cannot reason with the mutated brains of the political activists pushing the falsified global warming hypothesis.  Even so, fifteen years ago reason.com tried to introduce some reason into the argument. It was 30 years since the first unreasonable Earth Day.

Earth Day, Then and Now

Thirty Years ago, 20 million Americans participated in the first Earth Day on April 22, 1970. Fifth Avenue in New York City was closed to automobiles as 100,000 people joined in concerts, lectures, and street theater. More than 2,000 colleges and universities across America paused their anti-war protests to rally instead against pollution and population growth. Even Congress recessed, acknowledging that the environment was now on a political par with motherhood.
So where is reason now?  We have just experience another Earth Day. Have the participants learnt anything?

Let's look at some of the predictions from the first Earth Day:
"Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind."  — Harvard biologist George Wald
Forty Five Years on, I think we are safe. There has been no global warming for half that time, George. Oh, George died in 1997. So I suppose civilization did end for poor George.

Let's not forget the population bomber Paul Ehrlich:
  1. "Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years." — Stanford University biologist Paul Ehrlich  
  2. "Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born… [By 1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s." — Paul Ehrlich

 And Paul wrote Impact of Population Growth reviewed in Science, New Series, Vol. 171, No. 3977. (Mar. 26, 1971), pp. 1212-1217 with POTUS Obama's chief CC advisor John Holdren.

Sorry, Paul. The rise in atmospheric CO2 has increased the biomass of the planet and therefore increased the food for man and beast.

From ecologist Ken Wyatt:
  1. "By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate… that there won't be any more crude oil. You'll drive up to the pump and say, ‘Fill 'er up, buddy,' and he'll say, ‘I am very sorry, there isn't any.'" — Ecologist Kenneth Watt  
  2. "The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age." — Kenneth Watt
Peak Oil? Not by 2000 and no end in sight mid 2015. But Cooling? Kenneth stand by. There are scientists NOW who are predicting the same thing. Perhaps you made your run 30 years to soon.

Quotes from "Earth Day, Then and Now," by Ronald Bailey, Reason.com. May 1, 2000. 

Friday, May 1, 2015

Green Energy and Job Losses

How many times do the alarmist side of the debate say: Green Energy Creates Jobs. A Google search; "renewable energy creates jobs" found more than 7 million links.

This blog has previously cited the study by Dr. Gabriel Alvarez from King Juan Carlos University:
You compare the created jobs with the jobs that have not been created because you pulled resources away from the rest of the economy you find out that for every job you were creating at least 2.2 jobs were not created or were destroyed by this policy. (back-up link)
One green job means a loss of 2.2 jobs in other sectors.

Now from Canada:

Liberal Gerald Butts' 'green energy' policies costs jobs
Gerald Michael Butts (born 1971) is the Principal Advisor to Justin Trudeau. Before joining the Trudeau campaign, he was President and CEO of the global conservation organization, WWF-Canada (World Wildlife Fund Canada). 
Brian Lilley of TheRebel.media warns that when you look at what is happening, and who caused it, you need to worry about Ontario's disease spreading to the rest of Canada.
The Canadian Green Energy act meant that Canada turned away from reliable sources of power, affordable sources of power like Hydro, Nuclear, coal even to using just Wind and solar and paying extraordinary rates to get them. That is part of the reason why Ontario has lost 300,000 manufacturing jobs between 2004 and 2014.

Electricity woes knock Napanee out of the race for Goodyear expansion

Prince Edward County mayor Robert Quaiff says someone close to the situation told the Ontario Warden’s Caucus today the concerns surrounding dependable electricity in Napanee coupled with rising hydro rates fueled the decision. 
Another source to our newsroom who is also close to the situation agrees the decision had a lot to do with energy insecurity plus costs as well as the locations of other car manufacturing plants. We`re told Goodyear will be making an official announcement in the coming days.

 Gerald Butts says:

 Truth be told, we don't think there ought to be carbon based energy industry by the middle of this century. 
Brian Lilley says to think about what comes from oil

  • everything from the gas you put in your car;
  • the case around your i-phone; 

 Watch Rebel's 5 minute video:

What we saw from both these reports are that Green Jobs cost and also create unemployment.

Thursday, April 30, 2015

Global Warming has plateaued. Ask your children.

Before we start, let's get one thing clear. Climate Change is natural. Climate has been changing since time immemorial.

When the planet was warming, we were warned of man-made global warming (AGW). However, whether for reasons of attempted confusion or deliberate deception or brevity, the alarmists morphed (man made) global warming into just plain Global Warming.

When the warming plateaued, it was hard to pin a case on warming so the terminology moved on to climate change. Now, I have been called a Climate Change Denier. I do NOT deny that climate changes. I do not even deny that man has had some contribution to climate change or to the warming when it was happening. The Urban Heat Island effect is a prime example.

However, I believe that the primary causes of climate change are natural. And, from a study by Harvard University, it has been shown that young American people think the same. (link)
In fact, the age group that least agreed with the first statement  (“Global warming is a proven fact and is mostly caused by emissions from cars and industrial facilities such as power plants”) was that of 18 to 20-year-olds. The assumption that younger adults are more liberal when it comes to global warming does not hold up; if anything, they are even more skeptical.
Consequently, young Americans are often unsupportive of government measures to prevent climate change that might harm the economy. Less than a third of those surveyed agreed with the statement, “Government should do more to curb climate change, even at the expense of economic growth,” and only 12 percent strongly agreed with it.
Why should they "believe" in man-made global warming. There has been no warming throughout their young lives.

Now the true deniers, the alarmists, the pushers of the AGW hoax, say that it is cherry-picking to start, as in the above graph, at 1997. They say if you chose an earlier date, say 1995, the result would be different.  It might show a little rise.

However, Phil Jones, the head of the Climate Research Unit, made two statements from the beginning of the hiatus: (link)
Dr. Phil Jones – CRU emails – 5th July, 2005  The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only 7 years of data and it isn’t statistically significant….” 

Dr. Phil Jones – CRU emails – 7th May, 2009  ‘Bottom line: the ‘no upward trend’ has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried.’
He said that no upward trend for a period of 15 years (or more) would be a worry. That means the latest 15 years.

The top graph above shows a slight downward trend for the latest 18 years. No cherry picking. It is the LAST 18 years.

Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Clover Moore - Climate Scientist or Agenda 21 Promoter?

Clover Moore, Lord Mayor of the City of Sydney, has written an opinion piece published by the Huffington Post. (link)

Previously, this Mayor bought 10 Nissan Leafs (Leaves?) - a so-called "green" car. (LINK) Are these cars really Green?

Bjørn Lomborg wrote: (link)
Consumers remain wary of the cars' limited range, higher price and the logistics of battery-charging. But for those who do own an electric car, at least there is the consolation that it's truly green, right? Not really.   
...sure, electric cars don't emit carbon-dioxide on the road. But the energy used for their manufacture and continual battery charges certainly does—far more than most people realize.
Reminds me of the quote from Bertolt Brecht:
What a miserable thing life is: you're living in clover, only the clover isn't good enough.
And Australia's  Clover isn't good enough. She wasn't good enough when she bought her 10 Leafs and she definitely isn't good enough in her latest opinion piece.

Take her third sentence:
The shameful truth is that the slow response to this urgent issue means some climate change is now inevitable.

  • Truth? Truth and her article are strangers.  
  • Urgent Issue? Although the falsely accused atmospheric CO2 keeps rising, there has been no global warming for around twenty years. (link) (link
  • Climate Change Inevitable? Clover, you are right! Climate Change is inevitable. Climate has changed since the planet was formed.
Clover moves on to Australia's Greenhouse emissions: 
We have the highest greenhouse emissions per capita in the developed world....
Yes, Clover, but we are a large, sparsely-populated country. The following table confirms Clover's per capita statement but when you compare our actual emissions with other countries, we are way down at position 17.

Then Clover says:
Commitments from national governments are the crucial foundation for keeping us below a 2-degree-temperature rise.
Well, Clover, the data sets from both bodies recording the satellite data show COOLING this century.  

UAH Release Version 6.0 – Confirms Cooling Trend Since 1998

So, the Global Temperature is COOLING.

Moore Sorry, more from Clover:
Fortunately, a number of mayors are leading the way, and those who are taking action are seeing the economic and health benefits of investing in sustainable climate solutions.
Actually, the mayors are leading the waste of ratepayers funds on addressing a non-existent problem.

Saturday, April 25, 2015

The Vultures of Alarmism

Anthony Cox

The recent East-Coast storm was a bad one. These storms are not common but neither are they rare. There was one in 2007 which grounded the Pasha Bulker, another in 1974 which grounded the Sygna and the biggest of them all in 1955 which basically drowned the lower Hunter Valley.

This storm featured 135K/h wind gusts and wave heights of 14.9 meters. During the Sygna storm wave heights reached 17 meters and wind gusts up to 165k/h. Rainfall was much heavier during the 1955 storm and there was much greater loss of life and extent of damage.

So there is no trend or discernible evidence for AGW causing worse storms.

That hasn’t stopped the usual suspects from dredging up the usual statements about how this storm is evidence of AGW and the climate getting worse. Matthew England for instance is a typical alarmist advocate with a PhD:

And look at Flannery:

Poor buggers. They do look crook. They’d be full of beans now though with this recent storm to complain about and Flannery has also been upset about Lomborg getting some money to research at AWU which is where Lewandowsky and Cook did such great work on consensus.

But look at Lomborg:

Now there’s a happy chap. He’s getting on with the business of real science. Unlike sad-sack England who like the rest of the alarmists is sprouting rubbish about the storm like this:

Referring to the 2007 east coast low that hit the Newcastle area, and the devastation of the Brisbane floods in 2011 that was repeated last year, Professor England said there was a clear trend in repeat disasters. 
“All around the world we’re seeing the return period of storms, heatwaves ... the return periods are shortening and it’s consistent with what we’re seeing with global warming.”Professor England said while the frequency of storms aren’t guaranteed to increase, there were three clear reasons why they’re going to be more intense. 
“A warmer climate means more energised storms, the sea level is higher so we’re in a situation where the storm surge tends to be that much more impactful because it’s smashing into the coast with a higher sea level, and with more moisture in the atmosphere there’s more of a chance of higher rainfall events,” he said.

Now this is unmitigated bullshit. The Brisbane floods were exacerbated by alarmist and green policies which meant that Wivenhoe dam, a dam designed to mitigate floods after the 1974 storms which were bigger than the 2011 storm, a dam built as a flood mitigator which meant it had to be empty, was filled to the brim because alarmist propaganda about endless drought had convinced witless policy makers to use Wivenhoe as a drought mitigator. In terms of floods England is contradicted by the BOM’s own records:

Clearly the floods have not become more intense but less intense and frequent. And droughts have become less frequent as Dr David Stockwell showed.

He said less difference in the temperatures between the poles and the equator caused by global warming "could ­reduce the kind of hot-cold weather fronts that generate severe storms''.
There has been some great work done by independent researchers in Australia on heatwaves such as Jo Nova and Geoff Sherrington, Ken Stewart, Chris Gilham and many others. It’s a pity England didn’t bother to read some of their research or even familiarise himself with the BOM’s data.

But alarmists like England are not about evidence which contradicts the narrative of AGW. He and the rest have invested too much in this lie to give up on it now. This is why they act like vultures whenever a nasty bit of weather comes along. They seem eager to use the opportunity to push their belief irrespective of the facts. In this respect they are like vultures and their influence has not only cost Australia and the world dearly but also impacted on the reputation of science. The sad photos England and the rest of this gang took of themselves (such vanity!) is not a true image of where and what they are. In fact the before and after images of the Sygna best sum up the status and position of AGW and its believers today. The Sygna in 1974:

The Sygna recently in 2009:

Like the Sygna, after exposure to reality AGW has shrunk to the pathetic but still costly wreck it is today. England and his crew are still sitting at the helm of this wreck.

Global Warming More Moderate Than IPCC Worst-Case Models

Duke’s Nicholas School is a School of the Environment - not Environmental Sciences, or Environmental Studies, but the Environment. We strive for a new paradigm, one that views and attempts to understand the earth and the environment including humans as an integrated whole. (link)
A Press release from Duke Environment.

Global Warming More Moderate Than Worst-Case Models

DURHAM, N.C. – A new study based on 1,000 years of temperature records suggests global warming is not progressing as fast as it would under the most severe emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).   
“Based on our analysis, a middle-of-the-road warming scenario is more likely, at least for now,” said Patrick T. Brown, a doctoral student in climatology at Duke University’s Nicholas School of the Environment. “But this could change.” 
The Duke-led study shows that natural variability in surface temperatures -- caused by interactions between the ocean and atmosphere, and other natural factors -- can account for observed changes in the recent rates of warming from decade to decade.  
The researchers say these “climate wiggles” can slow or speed the rate of warming from decade to decade, and accentuate or offset the effects of increases in greenhouse gas concentrations. If not properly explained and accounted for, they may skew the reliability of climate models and lead to over-interpretation of short-term temperature trends. 
The research, published today in the peer-reviewed journal Scientific Reports, uses empirical data, rather than the more commonly used climate models, to estimate  decade-to-decade variability.
Scientific Reports
5Article number: 9957 
doi:10.1038/srep09957 (link)

From the paper: Comparing the model-simulated global warming signal to observations using
empirical estimates of unforced noise by Patrick T. Brown, Wenhong Li,
Eugene C. Cordero & Steven A. Mauget published in Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/srep09957.

Friday, April 24, 2015

Anzac Day: Centenary of Anzac Celebrations

In most ceremonies of remembrance there is a reading of an appropriate poem. One traditional recitation on Anzac Day is the Ode.
The Ode comes from For the Fallen, a poem by the English poet and writer Laurence Binyon and was published in London in the Winnowing Fan; Poems of the Great War in 1914. The verse, which became the League Ode, was already used in association with commemoration services in Australia in 1921.
"They shall grow not old, as we that are left grow old; 

Age shall not weary them, nor the years condemn. 
At the going down of the sun and in the morning 
We will remember them."
= = = = = = = = = 

Lee Kernaghan’s ‘Spirit of the Anzacs’ charity single featuring Guy Sebastian, Sheppard, Jon Stevens, Jessica Mauboy, Shannon Noll and Megan Washington:-